Species · BCR 37 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Pileated Woodpecker In Gulf Coastal Prairie
Pileated Woodpecker in Gulf Coastal Prairie has fallen sharply: down 60% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-60%Since 1969
20Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Pileated Woodpecker has fallen sharply in Gulf Coastal Prairie: down 60% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Pileated Woodpecker in Gulf Coastal Prairie is projected to fall about 44% by 2029 — from 0.67 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.38 (95% range 0.00–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-44%Change by 2029
0.38Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.295% range
±33.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.41 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
| 2026 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
| 2027 | 0.39 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
| 2028 | 0.38 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
| 2029 | 0.38 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
Routes In Gulf Coastal Prairie
| Vinton 2 | LOUISIANA | 4 | 2024 |
| Moon Lake 2 | TEXAS | 4 | 2024 |
| Lafitte | LOUISIANA | 3 | 1991 |
| Esther | LOUISIANA | 2 | 2024 |
| Hinkles Fer | TEXAS | 2 | 2024 |
| Danbury | TEXAS | 2 | 2017 |
| Chinquapin | TEXAS | 2 | 2022 |
| Port Acres | TEXAS | 2 | 2024 |
| Goliad Prairie | TEXAS | 2 | 2014 |
| Hackberry | LOUISIANA | 1 | 2014 |
| Glencoe | LOUISIANA | 1 | 2017 |
| Richard | LOUISIANA | 1 | 2023 |
| Ville Platte | LOUISIANA | 1 | 2018 |
| Hackberry 2 | LOUISIANA | 1 | 2021 |
| Winnie | TEXAS | 1 | 2023 |
| Stowell | TEXAS | 1 | 2022 |
| Katy | TEXAS | 1 | 2017 |
| Rock Island | TEXAS | 1 | 2015 |
| Moon Lake | TEXAS | 1 | 2009 |
| Mcfaddin | TEXAS | 1 | 2016 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.