Species · BCR 28 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Pileated Woodpecker In Appalachian Mountains

Pileated Woodpecker in Appalachian Mountains has surged: up 158% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+158%Since 1968
397Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Pileated Woodpecker has surged in Appalachian Mountains: up 158% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Pileated Woodpecker in Appalachian Mountains is projected to rise about 20% by 2029 — from 2.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.2 (95% range 2.5–3.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+20%Change by 2029
3.2Projected 2029 index
2.53.895% range
±20%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20253.02.43.7
20263.12.43.7
20273.12.53.7
20283.12.53.8
20293.22.53.8

Routes In Appalachian Mountains

Routes recording Pileated Woodpecker in Appalachian Mountains.
ClintonWEST-VIRGINIA152024
Scioto TrailOHIO142013
Front RoyalVIRGINIA142024
Tar HollowOHIO122024
OldtownMARYLAND112024
StollingsWEST-VIRGINIA112021
Cumberlnd GpKENTUCKY102018
FinzelMARYLAND102024
FontanaNORTH-CAROLINA102024
StoneybreakPENNSYLVANIA102024
ShanghaiWEST-VIRGINIA102022
Kemah LakeNEW-JERSEY92024
DresdenOHIO92024
Mohican S.F.OHIO92024
Shawnee S.F. 2OHIO92019
DouthatVIRGINIA92014
PedroWEST-VIRGINIA92023
Beattyville 2KENTUCKY82024
Piney GroveMARYLAND82024
S Berne 2NEW-YORK82024
LandisburgPENNSYLVANIA82024
Tussey Mtn.PENNSYLVANIA82024
Pine Mtn.VIRGINIA82024
Iron Mountain 2VIRGINIA82013
RioWEST-VIRGINIA81995

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.