Species · BCR 28 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Pileated Woodpecker In Appalachian Mountains
Pileated Woodpecker in Appalachian Mountains has surged: up 158% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+158%Since 1968
397Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Pileated Woodpecker has surged in Appalachian Mountains: up 158% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Pileated Woodpecker in Appalachian Mountains is projected to rise about 20% by 2029 — from 2.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.2 (95% range 2.5–3.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+20%Change by 2029
3.2Projected 2029 index
2.5–3.895% range
±20%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 3.7 |
| 2026 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 3.7 |
| 2027 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 3.7 |
| 2028 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 3.8 |
| 2029 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 3.8 |
Routes In Appalachian Mountains
| Clinton | WEST-VIRGINIA | 15 | 2024 |
| Scioto Trail | OHIO | 14 | 2013 |
| Front Royal | VIRGINIA | 14 | 2024 |
| Tar Hollow | OHIO | 12 | 2024 |
| Oldtown | MARYLAND | 11 | 2024 |
| Stollings | WEST-VIRGINIA | 11 | 2021 |
| Cumberlnd Gp | KENTUCKY | 10 | 2018 |
| Finzel | MARYLAND | 10 | 2024 |
| Fontana | NORTH-CAROLINA | 10 | 2024 |
| Stoneybreak | PENNSYLVANIA | 10 | 2024 |
| Shanghai | WEST-VIRGINIA | 10 | 2022 |
| Kemah Lake | NEW-JERSEY | 9 | 2024 |
| Dresden | OHIO | 9 | 2024 |
| Mohican S.F. | OHIO | 9 | 2024 |
| Shawnee S.F. 2 | OHIO | 9 | 2019 |
| Douthat | VIRGINIA | 9 | 2014 |
| Pedro | WEST-VIRGINIA | 9 | 2023 |
| Beattyville 2 | KENTUCKY | 8 | 2024 |
| Piney Grove | MARYLAND | 8 | 2024 |
| S Berne 2 | NEW-YORK | 8 | 2024 |
| Landisburg | PENNSYLVANIA | 8 | 2024 |
| Tussey Mtn. | PENNSYLVANIA | 8 | 2024 |
| Pine Mtn. | VIRGINIA | 8 | 2024 |
| Iron Mountain 2 | VIRGINIA | 8 | 2013 |
| Rio | WEST-VIRGINIA | 8 | 1995 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.