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Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Pileated Woodpecker In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasForest birds

Pileated Woodpecker in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has increased: up 33% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+33%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
110Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Pileated Woodpecker in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas. See the full index history below.

Pileated Woodpecker In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Pileated Woodpecker in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 2.9 (95% range 1.9–3.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-5%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.9Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.9–3.995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±9.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Pileated Woodpecker in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 2.9 (95% range 1.9–3.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20262.92.03.9
20272.92.03.9
20282.91.93.9
20292.91.93.9
20302.91.93.9

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Pileated Woodpecker in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
WechesTEXAS112025
PoyenARKANSAS102006
Ouachita NfOKLAHOMA92025
Big Sandy BithTEXAS92023
DibollTEXAS82025
WaldronARKANSAS72025
NanceARKANSAS72025
ChathamLOUISIANA71975
Flat CreekLOUISIANA72025
SmyrnaTEXAS72010
CrowsARKANSAS61991
BlakelyARKANSAS61999
SimsARKANSAS62025
FillmoreLOUISIANA61989
Derry 2LOUISIANA62025
Big CedarOKLAHOMA62024
GoodwaterOKLAHOMA62021
Hatfield 2ARKANSAS52025
Magazine MtnARKANSAS52025
Four LakesARKANSAS52001
FishvilleLOUISIANA52017
CypressLOUISIANA51981
TroutLOUISIANA52025
GoodwillLOUISIANA52024
Hee MountainOKLAHOMA52024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.