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Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Pileated Woodpecker In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasForest birds

Pileated Woodpecker in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has increased: up 25% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+25%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
110Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Pileated Woodpecker in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Pileated Woodpecker in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to fall about 16% by 2029 — from 3.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.9 (95% range 1.9–3.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-16%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.9Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.9–3.995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±13.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Pileated Woodpecker in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to fall about 16% by 2029 — from 3.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.9 (95% range 1.9–3.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20252.91.93.9
20262.91.93.9
20272.91.93.9
20282.91.93.9
20292.91.93.9

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Pileated Woodpecker in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
PoyenARKANSAS102006
Flat CreekLOUISIANA92024
WomackLOUISIANA92024
WechesTEXAS92024
Big Sandy BithTEXAS92023
NanceARKANSAS72024
Hatfield 2ARKANSAS72024
ChathamLOUISIANA71975
Mount UnionLOUISIANA72024
FredTEXAS72024
Alexander StTEXAS72024
Bon WierTEXAS72024
SmyrnaTEXAS72010
Powell Park 2TEXAS72024
CrowsARKANSAS61991
BlakelyARKANSAS61999
Magazine MtnARKANSAS62021
FillmoreLOUISIANA61989
Big CedarOKLAHOMA62024
GoodwaterOKLAHOMA62021
Ouachita NfOKLAHOMA62024
HopeARKANSAS52024
SimsARKANSAS52024
Four LakesARKANSAS52001
FishvilleLOUISIANA52017

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.