BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 9 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Phainopepla In Great Basin

All regionsGreat BasinArid-land birds

Phainopepla in Great Basin has fallen sharply: down 56% on the route-weighted index since 1972.

-56%Since 1972
5Routes In Region
20Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Phainopepla has fallen sharply in Great Basin: down 56% on the route-weighted index since 1972.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Phainopepla in Great Basin is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.03 (95% range 0.00–0.08). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±80.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029
0.03Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.0895% range
±80.1%Backtest error
19692029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.030.000.08
20260.030.000.08
20270.030.000.08
20280.030.000.08
20290.030.000.08

Routes In Great Basin

Routes recording Phainopepla in Great Basin.
Desert NwrNEVADA62019
NewcastleUTAH52022
CalienteNEVADA22016
Meadow VallyNEVADA22024
HikoNEVADA12018

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.