BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 34 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Phainopepla In Sierra Madre Occidental

All regionsSierra Madre OccidentalArid-land birds

Phainopepla in Sierra Madre Occidental has edged down: down 13% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-13%Since 1970
25Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Phainopepla in Sierra Madre Occidental. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Phainopepla in Sierra Madre Occidental is projected to fall about 42% by 2029 — from 5.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.3 (95% range 0.00–8.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±24.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-42%Change by 2029
3.3Projected 2029 index
0.00–8.895% range
±24.3%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20253.60.009.1
20263.50.009.0
20273.40.008.9
20283.40.008.9
20293.30.008.8

Routes In Sierra Madre Occidental

Routes recording Phainopepla in Sierra Madre Occidental.
PatagoniaARIZONA382024
Bartlett ResARIZONA212024
PomereneARIZONA182024
Peña BlancaARIZONA152024
CutterARIZONA112014
AmadoARIZONA82023
Skull ValleyARIZONA62024
PrescottARIZONA42022
Aztec PeakARIZONA31977
Forest LakesARIZONA32022
RedingtonARIZONA32023
WilliamsARIZONA22018
McnealARIZONA22006
Clay SpringARIZONA22022
PortalARIZONA22024
DragoonARIZONA22004
Vicks PeakNEW-MEXICO21996
San SimonARIZONA12023
SunizonaARIZONA11992
SahuaritaARIZONA12024
Carr MtnARIZONA12023
Sunizona 2ARIZONA12024
RuckerARIZONA12000
Emory PassNEW-MEXICO12021
MagdalenaNEW-MEXICO12018

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.