BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 32 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Phainopepla In Coastal California

All regionsCoastal CaliforniaArid-land birds

Phainopepla in Coastal California has increased: up 35% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+35%Since 1970
71Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Phainopepla in Coastal California. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Phainopepla in Coastal California is projected to rise about 83% by 2029 — from 0.92 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.7 (95% range 0.37–3.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±93.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+83%Change by 2029
1.7Projected 2029 index
0.37–3.095% range
±93.3%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.60.332.9
20261.60.342.9
20271.70.353.0
20281.70.363.0
20291.70.373.0

Routes In Coastal California

Routes recording Phainopepla in Coastal California.
Mt LagunaCALIFORNIA131987
VentucopaCALIFORNIA121998
Lake CachumaCALIFORNIA112016
Oak GroveCALIFORNIA102024
Cleveland NfCALIFORNIA92017
Sawmill MtnCALIFORNIA82014
TujungaCALIFORNIA82021
Elsinore MtnCALIFORNIA82024
White RiverCALIFORNIA71992
Foster ParkCALIFORNIA51994
SisquocCALIFORNIA52014
Lake Hemet 2CALIFORNIA52017
AuburnCALIFORNIA41980
AnzaCALIFORNIA42004
Elizabeth LkCALIFORNIA42016
CopperopolisCALIFORNIA42024
Yokohl ValCALIFORNIA31997
Lake SuccessCALIFORNIA31996
Lake BerryessaCALIFORNIA32024
Cuyamaca PkCALIFORNIA32024
SangerCALIFORNIA32024
JofeganCALIFORNIA32023
Cleveland Nf 2CALIFORNIA32019
Tres PinosCALIFORNIA21996
MorenoCALIFORNIA22022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.