BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 16 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Phainopepla In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau

All regionsSouthern Rockies / Colorado PlateauArid-land birds

Phainopepla in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau has fallen sharply: down 66% on the route-weighted index since 1995.

-66%Since 1995
8Routes In Region
25Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Phainopepla in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Phainopepla in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau is projected to stay roughly flat through 2028, near 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.05). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±48.9%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2028
0.02Projected 2028 index
0.00–0.0595% range
±48.9%Backtest error
19762028
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20240.020.000.06
20250.020.000.06
20260.020.000.05
20270.020.000.05
20280.020.000.05

Routes In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau

Routes recording Phainopepla in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau.
ShivwitzUTAH52019
HuntARIZONA22003
Navajo TrailARIZONA22005
Peach SpringARIZONA22023
ToroweapARIZONA12019
SeligmanARIZONA12023
Horse SpgsNEW-MEXICO11999
Salt Lake 2NEW-MEXICO12021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.