BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 15 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Phainopepla In Sierra Nevada

All regionsSierra NevadaArid-land birds

Phainopepla in Sierra Nevada has declined: down 38% on the route-weighted index since 1977.

-38%Since 1977
7Routes In Region
29Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Phainopepla in Sierra Nevada. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Phainopepla in Sierra Nevada is projected to rise about 94% by 2026 — from 0.06 in 2021 to a central estimate of 0.12 (95% range 0.00–0.33). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±92%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+94%Change by 2026
0.12Projected 2026 index
0.00–0.3395% range
±92%Backtest error
19742026
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20220.130.000.34
20230.120.000.34
20240.120.000.34
20250.120.000.33
20260.120.000.33

Routes In Sierra Nevada

Routes recording Phainopepla in Sierra Nevada.
KernvilleCALIFORNIA52008
Silver CityCALIFORNIA32013
CoultervilleCALIFORNIA32016
Bass LakeCALIFORNIA12019
Greenhorn MtCALIFORNIA11988
WawonaCALIFORNIA12004
CrestviewCALIFORNIA12021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.