Species · BCR 2 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Pelagic Cormorant In BCR 2

All regions BCR 2 Wetland birds

Pelagic Cormorant in BCR 2 has declined: down 45% on the route-weighted index since 1988.

-45%Since 1988

6Routes In Region

18Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Pelagic Cormorant in BCR 2. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Pelagic Cormorant in BCR 2 is projected to rise about 58% by 2020 — from 0.11 in 2015 to a central estimate of 0.17 (95% range 0.00–0.64). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±169.7%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+58%Change by 2020

0.17Projected 2020 index

0.00–0.6495% range

±169.7%Backtest error

Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.

Year	Projected index	95% high
2016	0.20	0.66
2017	0.20	0.66
2018	0.19	0.65
2019	0.18	0.64
2020	0.17	0.64

Routes In BCR 2

Routes recording Pelagic Cormorant in BCR 2.

Cape Nome	ALASKA	2	2012
Kodiak	ALASKA	1	1983
Chiniak	ALASKA	1	2015
Kodiak 2	ALASKA	1	2009
Nome	ALASKA	1	1997
Cold Bay (Short)	ALASKA	1	1991

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.