Species · Alaska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Pacific Loon Population Trend in Alaska

Pacific Loon in Alaska has held roughly steady: up 3% on the route-weighted index since 1983.

+3%Since 1983
59Routes In State
42Years

Notable Pacific Loon Trends in Alaska

No notable trend signals for Pacific Loon in Alaska. See the full index history below.

Pacific Loon Population Forecast in Alaska

If the recent trend holds, Pacific Loon in Alaska is projected to rise about 29% by 2029 — from 0.18 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.23 (95% range 0.02–0.45). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±54.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+29%Change by 2029
0.23Projected 2029 index
0.020.4595% range
±54.1%Backtest error
19752029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.230.020.45
20260.230.020.45
20270.230.020.45
20280.230.020.45
20290.230.020.45

Pacific Loon Survey Routes in Alaska

Routes recording Pacific Loon in Alaska.
Cold Bay420212021
Anvik River320211998
Kotzebue320242001
Swan Lake Rd320231984
Utqiagvik220232023
Paxson Lake219961996
Nabesna Road220241994
Kuskulana220231991
Mccarthy Rd2220241990
Burma Road220111997
Council220231995
Donelly Dome220122007
Craig220082008
Ketchikan219931993
Unalakleet River220171996
Nicholai Sl220242024
Hather Creek220162010
Porcupine R.220021997
Thompson Pas219831983
Red Dog220222022
Seven Lakes220101994
Cohoe220182012
Selawik (Short)219861986
Kotzebue (Short)219941986
Hatcher Pass220172017

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.