Species · Alaska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Pacific Loon Population Trend in Alaska
Pacific Loon in Alaska has held roughly steady: up 3% on the route-weighted index since 1983.
+3%Since 1983
59Routes In State
42Years
Notable Pacific Loon Trends in Alaska
No notable trend signals for Pacific Loon in Alaska. See the full index history below.
Pacific Loon Population Forecast in Alaska
If the recent trend holds, Pacific Loon in Alaska is projected to rise about 29% by 2029 — from 0.18 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.23 (95% range 0.02–0.45). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±54.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+29%Change by 2029
0.23Projected 2029 index
0.02–0.4595% range
±54.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.23 | 0.02 | 0.45 |
| 2026 | 0.23 | 0.02 | 0.45 |
| 2027 | 0.23 | 0.02 | 0.45 |
| 2028 | 0.23 | 0.02 | 0.45 |
| 2029 | 0.23 | 0.02 | 0.45 |
Pacific Loon Survey Routes in Alaska
| Cold Bay | 4 | 2021 | 2021 |
| Anvik River | 3 | 2021 | 1998 |
| Kotzebue | 3 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Swan Lake Rd | 3 | 2023 | 1984 |
| Utqiagvik | 2 | 2023 | 2023 |
| Paxson Lake | 2 | 1996 | 1996 |
| Nabesna Road | 2 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Kuskulana | 2 | 2023 | 1991 |
| Mccarthy Rd2 | 2 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Burma Road | 2 | 2011 | 1997 |
| Council | 2 | 2023 | 1995 |
| Donelly Dome | 2 | 2012 | 2007 |
| Craig | 2 | 2008 | 2008 |
| Ketchikan | 2 | 1993 | 1993 |
| Unalakleet River | 2 | 2017 | 1996 |
| Nicholai Sl | 2 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Hather Creek | 2 | 2016 | 2010 |
| Porcupine R. | 2 | 2002 | 1997 |
| Thompson Pas | 2 | 1983 | 1983 |
| Red Dog | 2 | 2022 | 2022 |
| Seven Lakes | 2 | 2010 | 1994 |
| Cohoe | 2 | 2018 | 2012 |
| Selawik (Short) | 2 | 1986 | 1986 |
| Kotzebue (Short) | 2 | 1994 | 1986 |
| Hatcher Pass | 2 | 2017 | 2017 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.