BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 28 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Ovenbird In Appalachian Mountains

All regionsAppalachian MountainsForest birds

Ovenbird in Appalachian Mountains has surged: up 307% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+307%Since 1968
393Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Ovenbird has surged in Appalachian Mountains: up 307% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Ovenbird in Appalachian Mountains is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 18 (95% range 15–21). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+10%Change by 2029
18Projected 2029 index
15–2195% range
±13.1%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025171420
2026171420
2027181421
2028181521
2029181521

Routes In Appalachian Mountains

Routes recording Ovenbird in Appalachian Mountains.
Tussey Mtn.PENNSYLVANIA1472024
Broad Mtn.PENNSYLVANIA852024
LynchPENNSYLVANIA812024
Tar HollowOHIO762024
PottersdalePENNSYLVANIA762024
OdinPENNSYLVANIA752024
DuboistownPENNSYLVANIA712024
Sproul Sf-BPENNSYLVANIA712024
Rothrock SfPENNSYLVANIA702019
AnsoniaPENNSYLVANIA642024
Sproul Sf-APENNSYLVANIA642024
Cherry SprsPENNSYLVANIA602023
FinzelMARYLAND582024
South MtnPENNSYLVANIA562023
N Pine GrovePENNSYLVANIA542024
S Berne 2NEW-YORK532024
RoulettePENNSYLVANIA512021
Ltl Pine CrPENNSYLVANIA512024
RasselasPENNSYLVANIA502022
LandisburgPENNSYLVANIA502024
Shawnee S.F.OHIO492000
Bald KnobVIRGINIA492024
PoyntellePENNSYLVANIA482024
SusquehannaPENNSYLVANIA472024
Zaleski S.F.OHIO462024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.