BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 27 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Ovenbird In Southeastern Coastal Plain

All regionsSoutheastern Coastal PlainForest birds

Ovenbird in Southeastern Coastal Plain has surged: up 366% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+366%Since 1968
107Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Ovenbird has surged in Southeastern Coastal Plain: up 366% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Ovenbird in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to rise about 66% by 2029 — from 1.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.7 (95% range 0.80–2.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±139.8%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+66%Change by 2029
1.7Projected 2029 index
0.80–2.795% range
±139.8%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.70.722.6
20261.70.742.6
20271.70.762.6
20281.70.782.7
20291.70.802.7

Routes In Southeastern Coastal Plain

Routes recording Ovenbird in Southeastern Coastal Plain.
Chowan RiverNORTH-CAROLINA232006
California 2NORTH-CAROLINA222024
CaliforniaNORTH-CAROLINA212013
JacksonNORTH-CAROLINA182017
RheasvilleNORTH-CAROLINA162017
Maple HillNORTH-CAROLINA142023
BeargrassNORTH-CAROLINA131981
SpeedNORTH-CAROLINA132024
WashingtonNORTH-CAROLINA132024
BranchvilleVIRGINIA132024
NewsomsVIRGINIA122024
Spring HopeNORTH-CAROLINA112024
SurryVIRGINIA112024
NewvilleVIRGINIA112024
ReelsboroNORTH-CAROLINA92019
DortchesNORTH-CAROLINA92024
Lloyd XroadsNORTH-CAROLINA82024
NewportNORTH-CAROLINA72023
WaverlyVIRGINIA71987
Dismal SwampVIRGINIA62016
MashoesNORTH-CAROLINA51975
JamesvilleNORTH-CAROLINA52024
MontagueNORTH-CAROLINA52024
Old TrapNORTH-CAROLINA52024
Green SeaSOUTH-CAROLINA52024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.