BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Ovenbird In Central Hardwoods

All regionsCentral HardwoodsForest birds

Ovenbird in Central Hardwoods has surged: up 282% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+282%Since 1968
123Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Ovenbird has surged in Central Hardwoods: up 282% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Ovenbird in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 50% by 2029 — from 1.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.6 (95% range 1.7–3.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±44.8%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+50%Change by 2029
2.6Projected 2029 index
1.7–3.595% range
±44.8%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.51.63.4
20262.51.63.4
20272.51.63.4
20282.61.73.5
20292.61.73.5

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording Ovenbird in Central Hardwoods.
HoosierINDIANA452024
Mammoth CaveKENTUCKY362014
ComptonARKANSAS242022
Mammoth Cave NorthKENTUCKY202013
GranitevilleMISSOURI182024
CentervilleMISSOURI142024
Clementine 2MISSOURI142007
WescoMISSOURI132024
BennettMISSOURI132024
Ozark NfARKANSAS92024
Boston Mtn.ARKANSAS92024
ClementineMISSOURI82002
MarshallARKANSAS72021
BelmontINDIANA72024
WilliamsvillMISSOURI72024
Trace CollinwoodTENNESSEE72018
IrontonMISSOURI51980
ZionARKANSAS41996
RudyARKANSAS42024
Cave In RockILLINOIS42023
CelestineINDIANA42002
LeveeKENTUCKY41982
Lebanon JunctionKENTUCKY42024
HillsboroALABAMA31996
RupertARKANSAS32024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.