BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 23 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Ovenbird In Prairie Hardwood Transition

All regionsPrairie Hardwood TransitionForest birds

Ovenbird in Prairie Hardwood Transition has surged: up 87% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+87%Since 1968
126Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Ovenbird has surged in Prairie Hardwood Transition: up 87% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Ovenbird in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to rise about 53% by 2029 — from 2.9 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.5 (95% range 2.8–6.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±52%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+53%Change by 2029
4.5Projected 2029 index
2.8–6.295% range
±52%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20254.42.76.1
20264.42.76.1
20274.42.76.1
20284.52.86.1
20294.52.86.2

Routes In Prairie Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Ovenbird in Prairie Hardwood Transition.
HatfieldWISCONSIN631998
Pigeon CreekWISCONSIN402024
CadottWISCONSIN392024
MatherWISCONSIN382023
ScottvilleMICHIGAN252024
Stevens PtWISCONSIN222023
CumberlandWISCONSIN192024
MerrillWISCONSIN182024
SaxevilleWISCONSIN152024
Brook ParkMINNESOTA142024
Barry S.G.A.MICHIGAN122012
Big RapidsMICHIGAN111990
MontereyMICHIGAN112024
EvergreenMINNESOTA112024
HungerfordMICHIGAN102024
Big Blue LkMICHIGAN92024
UnityWISCONSIN92024
Oconto FallsWISCONSIN92023
PrincetonWISCONSIN92024
RemusMICHIGAN82024
Allegan WmaMICHIGAN72019
CaledoniaMINNESOTA72012
WeyerhauserWISCONSIN72024
HolwayWISCONSIN71989
GreshamWISCONSIN72024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.