BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 22 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Ovenbird In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

All regionsEastern Tallgrass PrairieForest birds

Ovenbird in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie has surged: up 143% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+143%Since 1969
84Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Ovenbird has surged in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie: up 143% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Ovenbird in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie is projected to rise about 16% by 2029 — from 0.10 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.11 (95% range 0.06–0.17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±26.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+16%Change by 2029
0.11Projected 2029 index
0.06–0.1795% range
±26.3%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.110.060.16
20260.110.060.16
20270.110.060.16
20280.110.060.16
20290.110.060.17

Routes In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

Routes recording Ovenbird in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie.
GeraldMISSOURI62024
BelleviewILLINOIS52016
HolcombILLINOIS41978
HuntsvilleMISSOURI32024
ThurstonNEBRASKA32023
Mt HamillIOWA22017
KahokaMISSOURI21986
TrentonMISSOURI22017
House SpringsMISSOURI22024
UnionMISSOURI21999
BarringtonILLINOIS11997
ItascaILLINOIS12002
GeneseoILLINOIS11994
SheffieldILLINOIS11991
ComptonILLINOIS11980
WayneILLINOIS12012
New LenoxILLINOIS11972
Terre HauteILLINOIS11990
BartonvilleILLINOIS12015
MonicaILLINOIS12001
PontiacILLINOIS11988
ClarksdaleILLINOIS11969
HumboldtILLINOIS11993
Mascoutah LkILLINOIS11991
JamestownILLINOIS11973

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.