BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 14 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Ovenbird In Atlantic Northern Forest

All regionsAtlantic Northern ForestForest birds

Ovenbird in Atlantic Northern Forest has surged: up 78% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+78%Since 1968
156Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Ovenbird has surged in Atlantic Northern Forest: up 78% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Ovenbird in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to rise about 17% by 2029 — from 24 in 2024 to a central estimate of 28 (95% range 23–32). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+17%Change by 2029
28Projected 2029 index
23–3295% range
±12.6%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025272331
2026272331
2027272332
2028282332
2029282332

Routes In Atlantic Northern Forest

Routes recording Ovenbird in Atlantic Northern Forest.
NorthfieldMAINE911981
ChesterfieldMASSACHUSETTS702024
CharlestonMAINE572019
WanakenaNEW-YORK552024
DegrasseNEW-YORK542024
BrooksMAINE532019
InletNEW-YORK502017
WarrensburgNEW-YORK472019
MarlboroVERMONT472024
StrattonVERMONT472024
CooperMAINE452021
Carrying PlMAINE442024
East CalaisVERMONT442024
N OrangeMASSACHUSETTS432024
CummingtonMASSACHUSETTS432014
Hope FallsNEW-YORK411995
MiddlesexVERMONT412024
Horse MtnMAINE392011
MontereyMASSACHUSETTS392024
Underwood 2NEW-YORK392009
ReedsMAINE382024
NesowadnehunMAINE382021
Horseshoe L.NEW-YORK382017
LandgroveVERMONT382024
ManchesterMAINE371995

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.