Species · BCR 28 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Osprey In Appalachian Mountains
Osprey in Appalachian Mountains has surged: up 14× on the route-weighted index since 1975.
14×Since 1975
79Routes In Region
44Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Osprey has surged in Appalachian Mountains: up 14× on the route-weighted index since 1975.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Osprey in Appalachian Mountains is projected to fall about 39% by 2029 — from 0.16 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.10 (95% range 0.05–0.14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±49.6%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-39%Change by 2029
0.10Projected 2029 index
0.05–0.1495% range
±49.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.09 | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| 2026 | 0.09 | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| 2027 | 0.09 | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| 2028 | 0.09 | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| 2029 | 0.10 | 0.05 | 0.14 |
Routes In Appalachian Mountains
| Pine Grove | ALABAMA | 9 | 2024 |
| Guntersville | ALABAMA | 5 | 2017 |
| Stevenson | ALABAMA | 5 | 2024 |
| Signal Mtn | TENNESSEE | 4 | 2024 |
| Greensport | ALABAMA | 3 | 2024 |
| Oakman | GEORGIA | 3 | 2024 |
| Lakeview | ALABAMA | 2 | 2024 |
| Riverside | ALABAMA | 2 | 2012 |
| Betula | PENNSYLVANIA | 2 | 2022 |
| Russell City | PENNSYLVANIA | 2 | 2023 |
| Pocono Summit | PENNSYLVANIA | 2 | 2022 |
| Greentown | PENNSYLVANIA | 2 | 2011 |
| Mars | PENNSYLVANIA | 2 | 2023 |
| Mt Olive | ALABAMA | 1 | 1997 |
| Maytown | ALABAMA | 1 | 2023 |
| Talladega | ALABAMA | 1 | 2021 |
| Cartersville | GEORGIA | 1 | 2016 |
| Mountain Cty | GEORGIA | 1 | 2010 |
| Williamsport | MARYLAND | 1 | 2024 |
| Hope | NEW-JERSEY | 1 | 1986 |
| Bloomsbury | NEW-JERSEY | 1 | 2010 |
| High Point | NEW-JERSEY | 1 | 2000 |
| Ramseysburg | NEW-JERSEY | 1 | 2022 |
| Westbrookvle | NEW-YORK | 1 | 2017 |
| Oneonta | NEW-YORK | 1 | 1997 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.