Species · BCR 27 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Osprey In Southeastern Coastal Plain
Osprey in Southeastern Coastal Plain has surged: up 150% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+150%Since 1968
143Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Osprey has surged in Southeastern Coastal Plain: up 150% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Osprey in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to rise about 29% by 2029 — from 0.28 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.36 (95% range 0.27–0.46). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±25.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+29%Change by 2029
0.36Projected 2029 index
0.27–0.4695% range
±25.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.34 | 0.25 | 0.44 |
| 2026 | 0.35 | 0.26 | 0.44 |
| 2027 | 0.35 | 0.26 | 0.45 |
| 2028 | 0.36 | 0.26 | 0.45 |
| 2029 | 0.36 | 0.27 | 0.46 |
Routes In Southeastern Coastal Plain
| Alabama Pt 2 | ALABAMA | 26 | 2019 |
| Chacaloochee Bay | ALABAMA | 11 | 2019 |
| Jarvisburg 2 | NORTH-CAROLINA | 10 | 2022 |
| Kiawah Island | SOUTH-CAROLINA | 9 | 2024 |
| Myrtle Grove | NORTH-CAROLINA | 7 | 2024 |
| Ft Waltn Bch | FLORIDA | 6 | 2011 |
| Surry | VIRGINIA | 5 | 2024 |
| Alabama Pt | ALABAMA | 4 | 2003 |
| Dauphin Is 3 | ALABAMA | 4 | 2021 |
| Lovedale | FLORIDA | 4 | 2011 |
| Darien | GEORGIA | 4 | 2019 |
| Wrightsville | GEORGIA | 4 | 2023 |
| Grenada Lake | MISSISSIPPI | 4 | 2019 |
| Alligator Pt | FLORIDA | 3 | 2024 |
| St Vincent I | FLORIDA | 3 | 2024 |
| Aberdeen | MISSISSIPPI | 3 | 2023 |
| Mattamuskeet | NORTH-CAROLINA | 3 | 2019 |
| Billingsley | ALABAMA | 2 | 2022 |
| Cottonton | ALABAMA | 2 | 2024 |
| Whitehouse | ALABAMA | 2 | 2021 |
| Calebee | ALABAMA | 2 | 2024 |
| Dauphin Is 2 | ALABAMA | 2 | 2019 |
| Gainestown Ferry | ALABAMA | 2 | 2011 |
| Mossy Head | FLORIDA | 2 | 2008 |
| Miccosukee | FLORIDA | 2 | 2021 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.