BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Osprey In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

All regionsMississippi Alluvial ValleyGeneralists

Osprey in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has surged: up 140% on the route-weighted index since 1991.

+140%Since 1991
14Routes In Region
28Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Osprey has surged in Mississippi Alluvial Valley: up 140% on the route-weighted index since 1991.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Osprey in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to fall about 25% by 2029 — from 0.18 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.14 (95% range 0.05–0.23). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±173.6%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-25%Change by 2029
0.14Projected 2029 index
0.05–0.2395% range
±173.6%Backtest error
19882029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.130.040.22
20260.130.040.22
20270.130.040.22
20280.130.040.23
20290.140.050.23

Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Routes recording Osprey in Mississippi Alluvial Valley.
RamahLOUISIANA52024
Morgan CityLOUISIANA32011
HughesARKANSAS22017
Port AllenLOUISIANA22013
TiptonvilleTENNESSEE22023
Bardwell 2KENTUCKY12009
BrousvilleLOUISIANA12024
BelairLOUISIANA12023
KraemerLOUISIANA12023
BerwickLOUISIANA12018
River RoadLOUISIANA12021
DundeeMISSISSIPPI12019
Eagle LakeMISSISSIPPI12018
Pawpaw 2TENNESSEE12019

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.