Species · BCR 15 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Osprey In Sierra Nevada
Osprey in Sierra Nevada has increased: up 48% on the route-weighted index since 1975.
+48%Since 1975
19Routes In Region
47Years
Notable Signals
No notable trend signals for Osprey in Sierra Nevada. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Osprey in Sierra Nevada is projected to fall about 16% by 2029 — from 0.42 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.35 (95% range 0.12–0.59). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±45.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-16%Change by 2029
0.35Projected 2029 index
0.12–0.5995% range
±45.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.34 | 0.10 | 0.58 |
| 2026 | 0.34 | 0.11 | 0.58 |
| 2027 | 0.35 | 0.11 | 0.58 |
| 2028 | 0.35 | 0.11 | 0.59 |
| 2029 | 0.35 | 0.12 | 0.59 |
Routes In Sierra Nevada
| Bass Lake | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2018 |
| Genesee | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2024 |
| Chilcoot | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2009 |
| Westville | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2017 |
| Johnsville | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2015 |
| Higgins Corn | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2011 |
| Lakeshore | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2024 |
| Chester | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2016 |
| Meadow Valley | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2024 |
| Eagle Lake | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2023 |
| Dardanelle | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2014 |
| Sattley | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2016 |
| Butte Meadow | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2013 |
| Riverton | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2019 |
| Paxton | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2024 |
| Little Truckee | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2013 |
| Pollock Pines | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2017 |
| Wawona | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2009 |
| Strawberry | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2018 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.