BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 36 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Orchard Oriole In Tamaulipan Brushlands

All regionsTamaulipan BrushlandsGeneralists

Orchard Oriole in Tamaulipan Brushlands has fallen sharply: down 68% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-68%Since 1969
24Routes In Region
47Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Orchard Oriole has fallen sharply in Tamaulipan Brushlands: down 68% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Orchard Oriole in Tamaulipan Brushlands is projected to fall about 71% by 2029 — from 0.50 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.14 (95% range 0.00–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±85.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-71%Change by 2029
0.14Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.195% range
±85.9%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.190.001.1
20260.180.001.1
20270.170.001.1
20280.150.001.1
20290.140.001.1

Routes In Tamaulipan Brushlands

Routes recording Orchard Oriole in Tamaulipan Brushlands.
CatarinaTEXAS62007
ZapataTEXAS41970
MillettTEXAS42006
RandadoTEXAS32009
EncinalTEXAS31984
El IndioTEXAS32001
Millett 2TEXAS32022
San YgnacioTEXAS21972
HondoTEXAS22024
El SauzTEXAS22013
Encinal 2TEXAS22024
LaredoTEXAS22021
RachalTEXAS11992
Agua NuevaTEXAS12005
Mirando CityTEXAS11973
George WestTEXAS12023
La PryorTEXAS12017
RaymondvilleTEXAS12003
Catarina 2TEXAS12013
DilleyTEXAS12024
Catarina 3TEXAS12024
SejitaTEXAS12012
Pedro CreekTEXAS12010
Cavasara Cr.TEXAS12011

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.