BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 29 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Orchard Oriole In Piedmont

All regionsPiedmontForest birds

Orchard Oriole in Piedmont has edged up: up 14% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+14%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
164Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Orchard Oriole in Piedmont. See the full index history below.

Orchard Oriole In Piedmont Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Orchard Oriole in Piedmont is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 2.9 (95% range 2.2–3.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+3%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.9Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.2–3.695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±9.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Orchard Oriole in Piedmont is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 2.9 (95% range 2.2–3.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20262.82.13.5
20272.82.13.6
20282.92.13.6
20292.92.23.6
20302.92.23.6

Routes In Piedmont

Routes recording Orchard Oriole in Piedmont.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
MaxeysGEORGIA252024
Lincolnton 2GEORGIA212025
Liberty CityALABAMA192011
Salem XrdSOUTH-CAROLINA142019
OlneyMARYLAND132025
BrodnaxVIRGINIA112025
Liberty City 2ALABAMA102025
PendletonSOUTH-CAROLINA101976
MillervilleALABAMA92025
HollonvilleGEORGIA92003
Rock BranchGEORGIA92025
Sharon 2GEORGIA92025
EmmitsburgMARYLAND92025
Brandy StationVIRGINIA92025
TaylorstownVIRGINIA82007
CrestGEORGIA72025
BowdonGEORGIA72025
MetasvilleGEORGIA72000
EarltonMARYLAND72024
West GrovePENNSYLVANIA71996
AmherstVIRGINIA72025
AthensGEORGIA62025
RutledgeGEORGIA62025
Carrs StationGEORGIA62025
Yates CrossroadsGEORGIA62025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.