BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 29 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Orchard Oriole In Piedmont

All regionsPiedmontGeneralists

Orchard Oriole in Piedmont has held roughly steady: up 10% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+10%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
164Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Orchard Oriole in Piedmont. See the full index history below.

Orchard Oriole In Piedmont Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Orchard Oriole in Piedmont is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 2.9 (95% range 2.2–3.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+4%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.9Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.2–3.695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±10%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Orchard Oriole in Piedmont is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 2.9 (95% range 2.2–3.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20252.82.13.5
20262.82.13.6
20272.82.13.6
20282.92.13.6
20292.92.23.6

Routes In Piedmont

Routes recording Orchard Oriole in Piedmont.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
MaxeysGEORGIA252024
Liberty CityALABAMA192011
Lincolnton 2GEORGIA152024
IjamsvilleMARYLAND152024
Salem XrdSOUTH-CAROLINA142019
MillervilleALABAMA102024
PendletonSOUTH-CAROLINA101976
HollonvilleGEORGIA92003
Liberty City 2ALABAMA82024
Rock BranchGEORGIA82024
BullockNORTH-CAROLINA82024
TaylorstownVIRGINIA82007
BrodnaxVIRGINIA82024
MetasvilleGEORGIA72000
EarltonMARYLAND72024
West GrovePENNSYLVANIA71996
Sharon 2GEORGIA62024
OlneyMARYLAND62024
ArcolaNORTH-CAROLINA62024
Plum BranchSOUTH-CAROLINA62024
RidgewaySOUTH-CAROLINA62021
LincolntonGEORGIA52017
BowdonGEORGIA52024
Ball GroundGEORGIA52019
EmmitsburgMARYLAND52024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.