BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 27 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Orchard Oriole In Southeastern Coastal Plain

All regionsSoutheastern Coastal PlainGeneralists

Orchard Oriole in Southeastern Coastal Plain has fallen sharply: down 51% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-51%Since 1968
338Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Orchard Oriole has fallen sharply in Southeastern Coastal Plain: down 51% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Orchard Oriole in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 4.7 (95% range 3.0–6.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±29.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+9%Change by 2029
4.7Projected 2029 index
3.0–6.395% range
±29.1%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20254.93.26.5
20264.83.26.4
20274.83.16.4
20284.73.16.3
20294.73.06.3

Routes In Southeastern Coastal Plain

Routes recording Orchard Oriole in Southeastern Coastal Plain.
LovedaleFLORIDA602011
Mt CarmelMISSISSIPPI322016
ShallotteNORTH-CAROLINA271991
Big SandyTENNESSEE252024
FoleyALABAMA231984
PinewoodSOUTH-CAROLINA232019
EpesALABAMA202024
NorwoodLOUISIANA202024
LakeMISSISSIPPI202024
New HopeFLORIDA192011
SealeALABAMA182017
WhitehallALABAMA172024
CyburMISSISSIPPI172019
ScoobaMISSISSIPPI171982
ArapahoeNORTH-CAROLINA171995
RomeSOUTH-CAROLINA172024
BrundidgeALABAMA162021
ElamvilleALABAMA162024
ForestMISSISSIPPI152024
StarMISSISSIPPI152024
BelgradeNORTH-CAROLINA152019
Warrior StdALABAMA142024
New EllentonSOUTH-CAROLINA142023
BillingsleyALABAMA132022
LathamALABAMA132000

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.