BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Orchard Oriole In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

All regionsMississippi Alluvial ValleyGeneralists

Orchard Oriole in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has fallen sharply: down 67% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-67%Since 1968
69Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Orchard Oriole has fallen sharply in Mississippi Alluvial Valley: down 67% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Orchard Oriole in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 2.5 (95% range 0.00–5.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-5%Change by 2029
2.5Projected 2029 index
0.00–5.595% range
±23.3%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.90.005.9
20262.80.005.8
20272.70.005.7
20282.60.005.6
20292.50.005.5

Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Routes recording Orchard Oriole in Mississippi Alluvial Valley.
CarlisleLOUISIANA1061988
KelsoARKANSAS252016
South BendARKANSAS232023
DundeeMISSISSIPPI222022
Morgan CityLOUISIANA161986
ShawLOUISIANA162024
MayflowerLOUISIANA142024
BardwellKENTUCKY132003
RamahLOUISIANA112024
Delta N.F.MISSISSIPPI112021
SaffellARKANSAS92019
MoonMISSISSIPPI92021
HughesARKANSAS82023
WintervilleMISSISSIPPI82011
DeventerMISSOURI82023
Augusta 2ARKANSAS72016
FrogmoreLOUISIANA72024
GillettARKANSAS62024
EudoraARKANSAS52016
AugustaARKANSAS52001
LaroseLOUISIANA51988
ConcordLOUISIANA52016
MaynardARKANSAS42024
WilsonARKANSAS42023
FloydLOUISIANA42021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.