Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Olive Sparrow Population Trend in Texas
Olive Sparrow in Texas has surged: up 683% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+683%Since 1969
46Routes In State
57Years
Notable Olive Sparrow Trends in Texas
long arc increasecomputed index
Olive Sparrow has surged in Texas: up 683% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Olive Sparrow Population Forecast in Texas
If the recent trend holds, Olive Sparrow in Texas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 2.2 (95% range 1.5–3.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+5%Change by 2029
2.2Projected 2029 index
1.5–3.095% range
±11.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 2.8 |
| 2026 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 2.9 |
| 2027 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 2.9 |
| 2028 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 2.9 |
| 2029 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 3.0 |
Olive Sparrow Survey Routes in Texas
| Encinal | 42 | 2010 | 1970 |
| George West | 36 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Three Rivers | 36 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Millett 2 | 35 | 2024 | 2013 |
| Sejita | 29 | 2024 | 2008 |
| Lag Atascosa | 26 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Kingsville | 23 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Hondo | 23 | 2024 | 1975 |
| Agua Nueva | 22 | 2023 | 1976 |
| Loyola Beach | 21 | 2009 | 1995 |
| Rachal | 18 | 2023 | 1967 |
| San Pedro | 18 | 2023 | 1996 |
| Randado | 16 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Mirando City | 16 | 2024 | 2007 |
| Catarina | 16 | 2010 | 1977 |
| Indian Mtn | 15 | 2024 | 1997 |
| El Sauz | 14 | 2023 | 1993 |
| Campbellton | 12 | 2024 | 1975 |
| Brite | 11 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Catarina 3 | 11 | 2024 | 2018 |
| Raymondville | 10 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Loyola Beach 2 | 9 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Millett | 9 | 2012 | 1995 |
| Guerra | 9 | 2023 | 1988 |
| La Pryor | 8 | 2017 | 1969 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.