Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Olive Sparrow In Oaks and Prairies
Olive Sparrow in Oaks and Prairies has surged: up 13× on the route-weighted index since 1984.
13×Since 1984
5Routes In Region
36Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Olive Sparrow has surged in Oaks and Prairies: up 13× on the route-weighted index since 1984.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Olive Sparrow in Oaks and Prairies is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 1.3 (95% range 0.66–2.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±391.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+4%Change by 2029
1.3Projected 2029 index
0.66–2.095% range
±391.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.3 | 0.56 | 1.9 |
| 2026 | 1.3 | 0.58 | 2.0 |
| 2027 | 1.3 | 0.61 | 2.0 |
| 2028 | 1.3 | 0.63 | 2.0 |
| 2029 | 1.3 | 0.66 | 2.0 |
Routes In Oaks and Prairies
| Three Rivers | TEXAS | 36 | 2024 |
| Campbellton | TEXAS | 12 | 2024 |
| Brite | TEXAS | 11 | 2024 |
| Hobson | TEXAS | 2 | 2024 |
| Fannin | TEXAS | 1 | 2021 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.