Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Olive Sparrow In Edwards Plateau
Olive Sparrow in Edwards Plateau has surged: up 141% on the route-weighted index since 1998.
+141%Since 1998
4Routes In Region
28Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Olive Sparrow has surged in Edwards Plateau: up 141% on the route-weighted index since 1998.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Olive Sparrow in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 54% by 2029 — from 1.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.8 (95% range 0.37–3.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±42%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+54%Change by 2029
1.8Projected 2029 index
0.37–3.395% range
±42%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.7 | 0.28 | 3.2 |
| 2026 | 1.8 | 0.30 | 3.2 |
| 2027 | 1.8 | 0.33 | 3.2 |
| 2028 | 1.8 | 0.35 | 3.3 |
| 2029 | 1.8 | 0.37 | 3.3 |
Routes In Edwards Plateau
| Indian Mtn | TEXAS | 15 | 2024 |
| Montell | TEXAS | 3 | 2024 |
| Utopia | TEXAS | 1 | 2019 |
| Leakey | TEXAS | 1 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.