Species · BCR 5 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Oak Titmouse In Northern Pacific Rainforest
Oak Titmouse in Northern Pacific Rainforest has fallen sharply: down 50% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-50%Since 1970
30Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Oak Titmouse has fallen sharply in Northern Pacific Rainforest: down 50% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Oak Titmouse in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to fall about 18% by 2029 — from 0.19 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.15 (95% range 0.00–0.51). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±215.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-18%Change by 2029
0.15Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.5195% range
±215.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 0.53 |
| 2026 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.53 |
| 2027 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.52 |
| 2028 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.51 |
| 2029 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.51 |
Routes In Northern Pacific Rainforest
| Shasta Lake | CALIFORNIA | 10 | 2024 |
| Ukiah | CALIFORNIA | 8 | 2011 |
| Derby | OREGON | 6 | 1993 |
| Hay Fork | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2017 |
| Navarro | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 1973 |
| Mccloud | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 1984 |
| Emigrant Lake 2 | OREGON | 3 | 2024 |
| Longvale | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2023 |
| Mt Shasta | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2019 |
| Yreka | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2017 |
| Gazelle | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2021 |
| Days Creek | OREGON | 2 | 2014 |
| Emigrant Lk | OREGON | 2 | 2001 |
| Horse Creek | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1980 |
| Crescent Cty | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1993 |
| Holmes | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1970 |
| Hullville | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2019 |
| Fish Rock | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1987 |
| Junction Cty | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2006 |
| Orleans | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2009 |
| Alderpoint | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2012 |
| Laytonville | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1996 |
| Bodega Bay | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2015 |
| Burnt Ranch | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2013 |
| French Gulch | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2005 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.