BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 32 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Nuttall's Woodpecker In Coastal California

All regionsCoastal CaliforniaForest birds

Nuttall's Woodpecker in Coastal California has risen sharply: up 65% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+65%Since 1970
104Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Nuttall's Woodpecker has risen sharply in Coastal California: up 65% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Nuttall's Woodpecker in Coastal California is projected to rise about 17% by 2029 — from 4.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.3 (95% range 3.6–7.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±55.5%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+17%Change by 2029
5.3Projected 2029 index
3.6–7.095% range
±55.5%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20255.13.46.8
20265.23.56.9
20275.23.56.9
20285.33.67.0
20295.33.67.0

Routes In Coastal California

Routes recording Nuttall's Woodpecker in Coastal California.
CoyoteCALIFORNIA172024
Tres PinosCALIFORNIA162003
Lake BerryessaCALIFORNIA162024
RumseyCALIFORNIA152008
FolsomCALIFORNIA132024
SisquocCALIFORNIA132014
MoragaCALIFORNIA132024
Mt LagunaCALIFORNIA121987
Elizabeth LkCALIFORNIA122016
JacksonCALIFORNIA121992
Yolla BollyCALIFORNIA122024
White RiverCALIFORNIA111992
Tres Pinos 2CALIFORNIA112011
Lake CachumaCALIFORNIA102016
OrovilleCALIFORNIA102024
AuburnCALIFORNIA91980
OnoCALIFORNIA92012
LockwoodCALIFORNIA92024
PolomaCALIFORNIA92024
Elsinore MtnCALIFORNIA82024
Jofegan 2CALIFORNIA82024
Santa YnezCALIFORNIA72019
Gold HillCALIFORNIA72024
ZamoraCALIFORNIA72024
Carmel ValCALIFORNIA62024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.