BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Rough-winged Swallow In Edwards Plateau

All regionsEdwards PlateauAerial insectivores

Northern Rough-winged Swallow in Edwards Plateau has held roughly steady: down 9% on the route-weighted index since 1974.

-9%Since 1974
13Routes In Region
44Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Northern Rough-winged Swallow in Edwards Plateau. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Northern Rough-winged Swallow in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 15× by 2029 — from 0.06 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.93 (95% range 0.00–2.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±749.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

15×Change by 2029
0.93Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.495% range
±749.7%Backtest error
19722029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.910.002.3
20260.910.002.4
20270.920.002.4
20280.930.002.4
20290.930.002.4

Routes In Edwards Plateau

Routes recording Northern Rough-winged Swallow in Edwards Plateau.
PidcokeTEXAS62003
UtopiaTEXAS32017
GeorgetownTEXAS31983
AdamsvilleTEXAS32015
LeakeyTEXAS32022
Dripping SpgTEXAS21992
MontellTEXAS22014
Valley SpgsTEXAS12006
HarperTEXAS12017
San SabaTEXAS11975
KempnerTEXAS12007
Pidcoke 2TEXAS12024
Prairie Mtn.TEXAS12002

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.