BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 34 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Mockingbird In Sierra Madre Occidental

All regionsSierra Madre OccidentalGeneralists

Northern Mockingbird in Sierra Madre Occidental has edged up: up 11% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+11%Since 1970
34Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Northern Mockingbird in Sierra Madre Occidental. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Northern Mockingbird in Sierra Madre Occidental is projected to fall about 35% by 2029 — from 24 in 2024 to a central estimate of 16 (95% range 1.7–30). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±22.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-35%Change by 2029
16Projected 2029 index
1.7–3095% range
±22.5%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025162.030
2026161.930
2027161.830
2028161.830
2029161.730

Routes In Sierra Madre Occidental

Routes recording Northern Mockingbird in Sierra Madre Occidental.
Skull ValleyARIZONA742024
Clay SpringARIZONA742024
Sunizona 2ARIZONA532024
Bartlett ResARIZONA422024
MagdalenaNEW-MEXICO322024
DragoonARIZONA282009
RedingtonARIZONA252023
Vicks PeakNEW-MEXICO242024
McnealARIZONA222024
Peña BlancaARIZONA202024
Forest LakesARIZONA202024
Carr MtnARIZONA172024
PortalARIZONA162024
San SimonARIZONA152024
SunizonaARIZONA141997
Aztec PeakARIZONA131978
RuckerARIZONA132009
SahuaritaARIZONA122024
PatagoniaARIZONA112024
Mormon LakeARIZONA81975
ReserveNEW-MEXICO72023
Emory PassNEW-MEXICO72023
PinetopARIZONA62022
AmadoARIZONA42023
PrescottARIZONA32022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.