BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 33 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Mockingbird In Sonoran and Mojave Deserts

All regionsSonoran and Mojave DesertsGeneralists

Northern Mockingbird in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts has edged down: down 18% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-18%Since 1970
89Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Northern Mockingbird in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Northern Mockingbird in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts is projected to rise about 16% by 2029 — from 4.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.3 (95% range 0.00–12). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±102.3%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+16%Change by 2029
5.3Projected 2029 index
0.00–1295% range
±102.3%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20255.40.0012
20265.30.0012
20275.30.0012
20285.30.0012
20295.30.0012

Routes In Sonoran and Mojave Deserts

Routes recording Northern Mockingbird in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts.
Ajo 2ARIZONA452019
BarstowCALIFORNIA381998
Greenwater VCALIFORNIA242024
Haiwee ResCALIFORNIA232005
Joshua TreeCALIFORNIA222002
Alamo Res.ARIZONA192023
Hope 2ARIZONA192019
Cholla Gard.CALIFORNIA192019
FlorenceARIZONA181988
Joshua Tree 2CALIFORNIA152016
NelsonNEVADA152024
NeedlesCALIFORNIA141973
Imperial DamCALIFORNIA142010
PearblossomCALIFORNIA142024
Bates WellARIZONA122023
DarwinCALIFORNIA122005
AlamoNEVADA121973
Coachella CnCALIFORNIA102013
Ash MeadowsNEVADA102024
QuartzsiteARIZONA82024
AntaresARIZONA82024
Alamo RiverCALIFORNIA82018
Cabeza PrietARIZONA72024
Cactus ForestARIZONA72024
Organ PipeARIZONA72023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.