BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Mockingbird In Shortgrass Prairie

All regionsShortgrass PrairieGeneralists

Northern Mockingbird in Shortgrass Prairie has fallen sharply: down 50% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-50%Since 1969
129Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Northern Mockingbird in Shortgrass Prairie. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Northern Mockingbird in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to rise about 16% by 2029 — from 9.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 11 (95% range 3.2–19). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+16%Change by 2029
11Projected 2029 index
3.2–1995% range
±10.4%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025123.420
2026113.420
2027113.319
2028113.219
2029113.219

Routes In Shortgrass Prairie

Routes recording Northern Mockingbird in Shortgrass Prairie.
TrincheraCOLORADO1412022
SabinosoNEW-MEXICO1302021
PecosTEXAS922017
CrowleyCOLORADO912024
NinaviewCOLORADO842024
WinkTEXAS681986
VariaderoNEW-MEXICO622022
VillegreenCOLORADO442024
LoganNEW-MEXICO362024
RankinTEXAS352024
KermitTEXAS351999
SedanNEW-MEXICO342024
FarleyNEW-MEXICO322024
TucumcariNEW-MEXICO291975
Wagon MoundNEW-MEXICO281978
MaljamarNEW-MEXICO281977
Clear LakeOKLAHOMA282024
Cooley LakeNEW-MEXICO252024
HobbsNEW-MEXICO252024
MentoneTEXAS252015
Cone MtnCOLORADO242024
StilesTEXAS242024
GrenvilleNEW-MEXICO232024
ChanningTEXAS222018
Doyle Bridge 2COLORADO202023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.