Species · BCR 16 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Northern Mockingbird In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau
Northern Mockingbird in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau has fallen sharply: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-63%Since 1970
169Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Northern Mockingbird has fallen sharply in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Northern Mockingbird in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau is projected to fall about 30% by 2029 — from 5.9 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.1 (95% range 0.00–8.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±26.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-30%Change by 2029
4.1Projected 2029 index
0.00–8.795% range
±26.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.5 | 0.00 | 9.0 |
| 2026 | 4.4 | 0.00 | 8.9 |
| 2027 | 4.3 | 0.00 | 8.8 |
| 2028 | 4.2 | 0.00 | 8.8 |
| 2029 | 4.1 | 0.00 | 8.7 |
Routes In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau
| Mountainair | NEW-MEXICO | 115 | 2024 |
| Salt Lake 2 | NEW-MEXICO | 62 | 2024 |
| Quemado | NEW-MEXICO | 59 | 1997 |
| Corona East | NEW-MEXICO | 55 | 1995 |
| Mt Trumbull | ARIZONA | 52 | 1993 |
| Zeniff | ARIZONA | 52 | 1984 |
| Nageesi | NEW-MEXICO | 50 | 2024 |
| Pastura | NEW-MEXICO | 44 | 2024 |
| Horse Spgs | NEW-MEXICO | 41 | 2024 |
| Walsenburg | COLORADO | 39 | 2024 |
| Seligman | ARIZONA | 37 | 2024 |
| Horse Mtn | NEW-MEXICO | 37 | 2024 |
| Salt Lake | NEW-MEXICO | 35 | 2001 |
| Pecos | NEW-MEXICO | 32 | 2017 |
| Toroweap | ARIZONA | 28 | 2024 |
| House Rock | ARIZONA | 27 | 2022 |
| Yampai | ARIZONA | 26 | 1977 |
| Gallo Arroyo | NEW-MEXICO | 26 | 2021 |
| Glen Canyon | UTAH | 25 | 2024 |
| Torreon | NEW-MEXICO | 24 | 2024 |
| Shivwitz | UTAH | 24 | 2024 |
| La Cienega | NEW-MEXICO | 23 | 2022 |
| La Plata | NEW-MEXICO | 21 | 2013 |
| La Plata 2 | NEW-MEXICO | 21 | 2016 |
| Rose Wells | ARIZONA | 20 | 1978 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.