BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern House Wren In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

All regionsMississippi Alluvial ValleyForest birds

Northern House Wren in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has risen sharply: up 61% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+61%Since 1969
8Routes In Region
48Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Northern House Wren has risen sharply in Mississippi Alluvial Valley: up 61% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Northern House Wren in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to rise about 24% by 2029 — from 0.12 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.15 (95% range 0.00–0.42). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+24%Change by 2029
0.15Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.4295% range
±11.8%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.160.000.43
20260.150.000.43
20270.150.000.42
20280.150.000.42
20290.150.000.42

Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Routes recording Northern House Wren in Mississippi Alluvial Valley.
Cp GirardeauMISSOURI42024
HarrisburgARKANSAS21972
SaffellARKANSAS11975
BardwellKENTUCKY11991
Bardwell 2KENTUCKY12008
DeventerMISSOURI12019
BlodgettMISSOURI12021
TiptonvilleTENNESSEE12023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.