Species · BCR 19 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Northern House Wren In Central Mixed Grass Prairie
Northern House Wren in Central Mixed Grass Prairie has risen sharply: up 56% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+56%Since 1969
94Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Northern House Wren has risen sharply in Central Mixed Grass Prairie: up 56% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Northern House Wren in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to rise about 13% by 2029 — from 6.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 7.7 (95% range 4.7–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+13%Change by 2029
7.7Projected 2029 index
4.7–1195% range
±13.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7.5 | 4.6 | 11 |
| 2026 | 7.6 | 4.6 | 11 |
| 2027 | 7.6 | 4.6 | 11 |
| 2028 | 7.6 | 4.7 | 11 |
| 2029 | 7.7 | 4.7 | 11 |
Routes In Central Mixed Grass Prairie
| Covert | KANSAS | 47 | 2024 |
| Brady | NEBRASKA | 45 | 2024 |
| Surprise | NEBRASKA | 35 | 2024 |
| Ash Valley | KANSAS | 29 | 2019 |
| Chambers | NEBRASKA | 29 | 2023 |
| Red Cloud | NEBRASKA | 27 | 2024 |
| Hodges | KANSAS | 26 | 2014 |
| Hollenberg | KANSAS | 24 | 2023 |
| Jewell 2 | KANSAS | 24 | 2024 |
| Petersburg | NEBRASKA | 24 | 2023 |
| Albert | KANSAS | 23 | 2024 |
| Kearney | NEBRASKA | 21 | 2024 |
| Hendley | NEBRASKA | 21 | 2024 |
| St John | KANSAS | 20 | 2019 |
| Gray | KANSAS | 20 | 2019 |
| Jamestown | KANSAS | 19 | 2024 |
| Almeria | NEBRASKA | 19 | 2021 |
| Berwyn 2 | NEBRASKA | 19 | 2021 |
| Beloit | KANSAS | 18 | 2003 |
| Belvidere | NEBRASKA | 18 | 2024 |
| Boelus | NEBRASKA | 18 | 2022 |
| Nenzel | NEBRASKA | 16 | 2024 |
| Phillipsburg | KANSAS | 14 | 2022 |
| Table | NEBRASKA | 14 | 2024 |
| Liberty 2 | NEBRASKA | 14 | 2007 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.