BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern House Wren In Shortgrass Prairie

All regionsShortgrass PrairieForest birds

Northern House Wren in Shortgrass Prairie has surged: up 127% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+127%Since 1970
62Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Northern House Wren has surged in Shortgrass Prairie: up 127% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Northern House Wren in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to rise about 13% by 2029 — from 1.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.7 (95% range 1.0–2.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±36.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+13%Change by 2029
1.7Projected 2029 index
1.0–2.595% range
±36.3%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.70.932.4
20261.70.952.4
20271.70.982.4
20281.71.02.4
20291.71.02.5

Routes In Shortgrass Prairie

Routes recording Northern House Wren in Shortgrass Prairie.
Pine RidgeNEBRASKA462024
ArsenalCOLORADO192015
Arsenal 2COLORADO192024
CrawfordNEBRASKA182024
ElbertCOLORADO172024
ChampionNEBRASKA82018
PaxtonNEBRASKA72016
Doyle BridgeCOLORADO61997
Hay SpringsNEBRASKA52024
BenkelmanNEBRASKA42022
Fort MorganCOLORADO32024
Doyle Bridge 2COLORADO32023
LeotiKANSAS32003
YoderWYOMING32024
LingleWYOMING32024
KiowaCOLORADO22018
Wildhorse LCOLORADO22024
CrowleyCOLORADO22023
Kiowa 2COLORADO22024
NunnCOLORADO22016
JulesburgCOLORADO22021
BennettCOLORADO22018
Prospect Valley 2COLORADO22021
RuletonKANSAS21991
PlymellKANSAS22024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.