Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Northern House Wren In Badlands and Prairies
Northern House Wren in Badlands and Prairies has surged: up 318% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+318%Since 1969
120Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Northern House Wren has surged in Badlands and Prairies: up 318% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Northern House Wren in Badlands and Prairies is projected to rise about 34% by 2029 — from 5.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 7.1 (95% range 5.5–8.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.8%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+34%Change by 2029
7.1Projected 2029 index
5.5–8.695% range
±20.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6.8 | 5.2 | 8.3 |
| 2026 | 6.8 | 5.3 | 8.4 |
| 2027 | 6.9 | 5.4 | 8.4 |
| 2028 | 7.0 | 5.5 | 8.5 |
| 2029 | 7.1 | 5.5 | 8.6 |
Routes In Badlands and Prairies
| Reed Point | MONTANA | 52 | 2024 |
| Tobacco | NORTH-DAKOTA | 28 | 2019 |
| Brandenberg | MONTANA | 27 | 2019 |
| Dickinson | NORTH-DAKOTA | 27 | 2024 |
| Chamberlain | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 26 | 2011 |
| Lightning Cr | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 25 | 2022 |
| Seely | WYOMING | 24 | 2000 |
| Highwood | MONTANA | 21 | 2024 |
| Custer | MONTANA | 21 | 2022 |
| Savage | MONTANA | 20 | 2021 |
| Hazelrodt | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 20 | 2024 |
| Dayton | WYOMING | 18 | 2024 |
| Crookston | NEBRASKA | 17 | 2024 |
| Promise | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 16 | 2011 |
| Custer | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 16 | 2024 |
| Wyarno | WYOMING | 16 | 2024 |
| Forsyth | MONTANA | 15 | 2023 |
| Dunn Center | NORTH-DAKOTA | 14 | 2024 |
| Custer 2 | MONTANA | 13 | 2024 |
| Rochford | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 13 | 2018 |
| Maynard Coulee | MONTANA | 12 | 2024 |
| Jordan | MONTANA | 11 | 2024 |
| Solen | NORTH-DAKOTA | 11 | 2024 |
| French Creek | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 11 | 2005 |
| Two Dot | MONTANA | 10 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.