Species · BCR 15 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Northern House Wren In Sierra Nevada
Northern House Wren in Sierra Nevada has declined: down 38% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
-38%Since 1971
35Routes In Region
55Years
Notable Signals
No notable trend signals for Northern House Wren in Sierra Nevada. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Northern House Wren in Sierra Nevada is projected to fall about 19% by 2029 — from 3.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.7 (95% range 0.04–5.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±32.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-19%Change by 2029
2.7Projected 2029 index
0.04–5.495% range
±32.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.8 | 0.11 | 5.4 |
| 2026 | 2.8 | 0.09 | 5.4 |
| 2027 | 2.7 | 0.07 | 5.4 |
| 2028 | 2.7 | 0.06 | 5.4 |
| 2029 | 2.7 | 0.04 | 5.4 |
Routes In Sierra Nevada
| Genesee | CALIFORNIA | 14 | 2024 |
| Paxton | CALIFORNIA | 10 | 2024 |
| Wawona | CALIFORNIA | 9 | 2024 |
| Cottage Spgs | CALIFORNIA | 7 | 1969 |
| Greenhorn Mt | CALIFORNIA | 7 | 2008 |
| Tuolumne Grove | CALIFORNIA | 7 | 2024 |
| Woodfords | CALIFORNIA | 5 | 2024 |
| Forest Hill | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2021 |
| Pollock Pines | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2024 |
| Chilcoot | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2024 |
| Dardanelle | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2019 |
| Bass Lake | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2019 |
| Johnsville | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2024 |
| Silver City | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2012 |
| Kings Canyon | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2013 |
| Sattley | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2024 |
| Eagle Lake | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2024 |
| Riverton | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2023 |
| Hat Creek | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2018 |
| Tahoe Nf | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 1994 |
| Little Truckee | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2023 |
| Pine Mountain | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2017 |
| Crestview | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2018 |
| Last Chance | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2017 |
| Westville | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2023 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.