BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 30 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Cardinal In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

All regionsNew England / Mid-Atlantic CoastGeneralists

Northern Cardinal in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast has risen sharply: up 58% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+58%Since 1968
164Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Northern Cardinal has risen sharply in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast: up 58% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Northern Cardinal in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 35 (95% range 30–40). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±3.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+8%Change by 2029
35Projected 2029 index
30–4095% range
±3.1%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025342939
2026342939
2027342939
2028352940
2029353040

Routes In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

Routes recording Northern Cardinal in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast.
Island CreekMARYLAND1252024
BrocktonMASSACHUSETTS872019
DavidsnvilleMARYLAND822024
Forest GroveMARYLAND802023
Pr FrederickMARYLAND762024
WillimanticCONNECTICUT722018
CokesburyMARYLAND692024
WarrenCONNECTICUT642011
MillingtonMARYLAND602024
ElktonMARYLAND572024
PomonkeyMARYLAND542024
EastonMARYLAND542021
Severna ParkMARYLAND542011
BelchertownMASSACHUSETTS542024
PepperboxDELAWARE532016
LargoMARYLAND531981
HolmansvilleNEW-JERSEY532009
Port RoyalVIRGINIA532019
Colonial PkyVIRGINIA531998
Pedricktown 2NEW-JERSEY522024
Milton 2DELAWARE512017
MarionMASSACHUSETTS512024
HarringtonDELAWARE502024
HolleyvilleDELAWARE492004
St. George'S IslandMARYLAND492017

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.