BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 28 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Cardinal In Appalachian Mountains

All regionsAppalachian MountainsGeneralists

Northern Cardinal in Appalachian Mountains has edged up: up 21% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+21%Since 1968
403Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Northern Cardinal in Appalachian Mountains. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Northern Cardinal in Appalachian Mountains is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 23 (95% range 20–26). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-4%Change by 2029
23Projected 2029 index
20–2695% range
±7%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025232025
2026232026
2027232026
2028232026
2029232026

Routes In Appalachian Mountains

Routes recording Northern Cardinal in Appalachian Mountains.
StaffordsvilKENTUCKY1581997
PaintsvilleKENTUCKY1281995
BrevardNORTH-CAROLINA1022024
WilliamsportMARYLAND922024
Corryton RdTENNESSEE862019
ShannonGEORGIA752019
Mt OliveTENNESSEE752024
WelchWEST-VIRGINIA742023
BirminghamOHIO722024
FincastleVIRGINIA682024
SardisPENNSYLVANIA661974
Nat TunnelVIRGINIA662024
RiversideALABAMA652013
DresdenOHIO652024
RockportWEST-VIRGINIA632024
OmegaOHIO622024
ClimerTENNESSEE622004
SmithfieldOHIO612024
DrummondALABAMA602024
BramwellWEST-VIRGINIA592023
StevensonALABAMA582024
Cumberlnd GpKENTUCKY582018
LinwoodGEORGIA572023
LovellTENNESSEE572019
MonongahWEST-VIRGINIA562022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.