BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Cardinal In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesGeneralists

Northern Cardinal in Oaks and Prairies has surged: up 76% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+76%Since 1969
74Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Northern Cardinal has surged in Oaks and Prairies: up 76% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Northern Cardinal in Oaks and Prairies is projected to rise about 14% by 2029 — from 71 in 2024 to a central estimate of 81 (95% range 67–95). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+14%Change by 2029
81Projected 2029 index
67–9595% range
±15.8%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025786392
2026796493
2027796594
2028806694
2029816795

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Northern Cardinal in Oaks and Prairies.
Arenosa CrkTEXAS1882024
MuldoonTEXAS1672024
SchroederTEXAS1591997
RhomeTEXAS1392024
ChoctawOKLAHOMA1362023
Oak GroveTEXAS1331999
BurtonTEXAS1312024
PaigeTEXAS1292024
HearneTEXAS1152024
DecaturTEXAS1142024
Oak Grove 2TEXAS1132024
Thornton 2TEXAS1102010
FanninTEXAS1102023
CottonwoodTEXAS1072024
HoldenvilleOKLAHOMA982024
Three RiversTEXAS962024
Whit Mtn.TEXAS932019
GrafordTEXAS912019
TatumsOKLAHOMA902024
CarlosTEXAS902024
YoakumTEXAS892024
NobleOKLAHOMA872024
CayugaTEXAS872024
GauseTEXAS841997
Thornton 3TEXAS842024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.