BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 19 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Cardinal In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

All regionsCentral Mixed Grass PrairieGeneralists

Northern Cardinal in Central Mixed Grass Prairie has surged: up 144% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+144%Since 1969
124Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Northern Cardinal has surged in Central Mixed Grass Prairie: up 144% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Northern Cardinal in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 20 (95% range 16–24). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+6%Change by 2029
20Projected 2029 index
16–2495% range
±8.2%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025191523
2026191523
2027191523
2028201524
2029201624

Routes In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

Routes recording Northern Cardinal in Central Mixed Grass Prairie.
Ft Sill WestOKLAHOMA1191994
WellingtonKANSAS1132024
DaltonKANSAS912024
Ft Sill EastOKLAHOMA831994
HawleyTEXAS822024
Wichita MtnsOKLAHOMA781994
Shields 2TEXAS782023
KanopolisKANSAS642024
WinchellTEXAS642024
VerdenOKLAHOMA602017
SilverTEXAS582024
Wichita Mtns EastOKLAHOMA462022
CashionOKLAHOMA422024
Wichita Mts WestOKLAHOMA412022
BuckeyeKANSAS392023
BerwetKANSAS362024
SicklesOKLAHOMA352021
Pear ValleyTEXAS342024
HanoverKANSAS322023
CovertKANSAS322024
ChesterOKLAHOMA311988
HunterOKLAHOMA312024
ColonyOKLAHOMA311995
PhrosoOKLAHOMA302024
CoopertonOKLAHOMA292024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.