Species · Louisiana · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Neotropic Cormorant Population Trend in Louisiana

Neotropic Cormorant in Louisiana has collapsed: down 75% on the route-weighted index since 1973.

-75%Since 1973
24Routes In State
48Years

Notable Neotropic Cormorant Trends in Louisiana

long arc declinecomputed index

Neotropic Cormorant has collapsed in Louisiana: down 75% on the route-weighted index since 1973.

Neotropic Cormorant Population Forecast in Louisiana

If the recent trend holds, Neotropic Cormorant in Louisiana is projected to rise about 61% by 2029 — from 2.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.4 (95% range 0.00–10). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±71.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+61%Change by 2029
3.4Projected 2029 index
0.001095% range
±71.7%Backtest error
19702029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20253.30.0010
20263.30.0010
20273.30.0010
20283.30.0010
20293.40.0010

Neotropic Cormorant Survey Routes in Louisiana

Routes recording Neotropic Cormorant in Louisiana.
Forked Island 231120112010
Woodlawn4820212010
Sabine Nwr4220081989
Sabine Nwr 23720172009
Maurice3220241997
Creole1619801970
Ltl Chenier 21620112010
Richard1520242013
Esther1320241989
Gran Chenier1119821970
Forked Island1120242008
Ramah820242010
River Road720242016
Frogmore720232021
Kaplan620231998
Hackberry220161973
Vinton 2220192011
Atchafalaya120232013
Keystone120131995
Shaw120212021
Zwolle120172017
Berwick120102010
Ltl Chenier120232013
Hackberry 2120182018

Neotropic Cormorant Population Trend in Other States

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.