Species · Louisiana · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Neotropic Cormorant Population Trend in Louisiana
Neotropic Cormorant in Louisiana has collapsed: down 75% on the route-weighted index since 1973.
-75%Since 1973
24Routes In State
48Years
Notable Neotropic Cormorant Trends in Louisiana
long arc declinecomputed index
Neotropic Cormorant has collapsed in Louisiana: down 75% on the route-weighted index since 1973.
Neotropic Cormorant Population Forecast in Louisiana
If the recent trend holds, Neotropic Cormorant in Louisiana is projected to rise about 61% by 2029 — from 2.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.4 (95% range 0.00–10). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±71.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+61%Change by 2029
3.4Projected 2029 index
0.00–1095% range
±71.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.3 | 0.00 | 10 |
| 2026 | 3.3 | 0.00 | 10 |
| 2027 | 3.3 | 0.00 | 10 |
| 2028 | 3.3 | 0.00 | 10 |
| 2029 | 3.4 | 0.00 | 10 |
Neotropic Cormorant Survey Routes in Louisiana
| Forked Island 2 | 311 | 2011 | 2010 |
| Woodlawn | 48 | 2021 | 2010 |
| Sabine Nwr | 42 | 2008 | 1989 |
| Sabine Nwr 2 | 37 | 2017 | 2009 |
| Maurice | 32 | 2024 | 1997 |
| Creole | 16 | 1980 | 1970 |
| Ltl Chenier 2 | 16 | 2011 | 2010 |
| Richard | 15 | 2024 | 2013 |
| Esther | 13 | 2024 | 1989 |
| Gran Chenier | 11 | 1982 | 1970 |
| Forked Island | 11 | 2024 | 2008 |
| Ramah | 8 | 2024 | 2010 |
| River Road | 7 | 2024 | 2016 |
| Frogmore | 7 | 2023 | 2021 |
| Kaplan | 6 | 2023 | 1998 |
| Hackberry | 2 | 2016 | 1973 |
| Vinton 2 | 2 | 2019 | 2011 |
| Atchafalaya | 1 | 2023 | 2013 |
| Keystone | 1 | 2013 | 1995 |
| Shaw | 1 | 2021 | 2021 |
| Zwolle | 1 | 2017 | 2017 |
| Berwick | 1 | 2010 | 2010 |
| Ltl Chenier | 1 | 2023 | 2013 |
| Hackberry 2 | 1 | 2018 | 2018 |
Neotropic Cormorant Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.