BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 37 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mourning Dove In Gulf Coastal Prairie

All regionsGulf Coastal PrairieGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Gulf Coastal Prairie has surged: up 220% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+220%Since 1969
48Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Mourning Dove has surged in Gulf Coastal Prairie: up 220% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Gulf Coastal Prairie is projected to rise about 12% by 2029 — from 57 in 2024 to a central estimate of 64 (95% range 44–85). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±43.5%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+12%Change by 2029
64Projected 2029 index
44–8595% range
±43.5%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025624182
2026624283
2027634284
2028644384
2029644485

Routes In Gulf Coastal Prairie

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Gulf Coastal Prairie.
Loyola Beach 2TEXAS2492024
Oyster LakeTEXAS1152024
ChinquapinTEXAS1002024
Goliad PrairieTEXAS932016
IndianolaTEXAS882024
L. Atascosa NwrTEXAS802023
Lag AtascosaTEXAS742024
McfaddinTEXAS732016
Rock IslandTEXAS702024
San PedroTEXAS692023
Moon Lake 2TEXAS602024
MauriceLOUISIANA592024
Loyola BeachTEXAS542009
Ltl Chenier 2LOUISIANA502011
WinnieTEXAS492024
StowellTEXAS492023
Bayside 3TEXAS442024
Hackberry 2LOUISIANA432024
KatyTEXAS432024
BaysideTEXAS432010
JuniorLOUISIANA361991
KaplanLOUISIANA362023
Ltl ChenierLOUISIANA342024
LafitteLOUISIANA301991
Port AcresTEXAS302024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.