BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 36 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Mourning Dove In Tamaulipan Brushlands

All regionsTamaulipan BrushlandsGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Tamaulipan Brushlands has held roughly steady: up 1% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+1%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
28Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Tamaulipan Brushlands. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove In Tamaulipan Brushlands Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Tamaulipan Brushlands is projected to fall about 22% by 2030 — from 81 in 2025 to a central estimate of 64 (95% range 29–98). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-22%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
64Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
29–9895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±15.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Tamaulipan Brushlands is projected to fall about 22% by 2030 — from 81 in 2025 to a central estimate of 64 (95% range 29–98). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20266631100
2027653199
2028653099
2029643098
2030642998

Routes In Tamaulipan Brushlands

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Tamaulipan Brushlands.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
RaymondvilleTEXAS1822025
HondoTEXAS1332025
Millett 2TEXAS1282024
ProgresoTEXAS962011
DilleyTEXAS902025
Agua NuevaTEXAS862023
EncinalTEXAS842010
KingsvilleTEXAS782024
El SauzTEXAS772023
GuerraTEXAS772025
ZapataTEXAS761987
RachalTEXAS752025
CatarinaTEXAS712010
George WestTEXAS652025
RandadoTEXAS642025
Encinal 2TEXAS632025
Cavasara Cr.TEXAS592025
Catarina 2TEXAS562017
San YgnacioTEXAS541985
HeidelbergTEXAS542024
Mirando CityTEXAS532025
SejitaTEXAS382024
Catarina 3TEXAS352025
MillettTEXAS352012
LaredoTEXAS262023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.