BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 36 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mourning Dove In Tamaulipan Brushlands

All regionsTamaulipan BrushlandsGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Tamaulipan Brushlands has edged down: down 10% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-10%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
28Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Tamaulipan Brushlands. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove In Tamaulipan Brushlands Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Tamaulipan Brushlands is projected to fall about 23% by 2029 — from 82 in 2024 to a central estimate of 63 (95% range 28–97). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-23%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
63Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
28–9795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±13.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Tamaulipan Brushlands is projected to fall about 23% by 2029 — from 82 in 2024 to a central estimate of 63 (95% range 28–97). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025653099
2026643099
2027642998
2028632998
2029632897

Routes In Tamaulipan Brushlands

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Tamaulipan Brushlands.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
RaymondvilleTEXAS1882024
Millett 2TEXAS1282024
George WestTEXAS1162024
Cavasara Cr.TEXAS1122023
DilleyTEXAS1092024
ProgresoTEXAS962011
RachalTEXAS912023
Agua NuevaTEXAS862023
EncinalTEXAS842010
KingsvilleTEXAS782024
El SauzTEXAS772023
ZapataTEXAS761987
CatarinaTEXAS712010
Encinal 2TEXAS642024
HondoTEXAS612024
Catarina 2TEXAS562017
Mirando CityTEXAS542024
San YgnacioTEXAS541985
HeidelbergTEXAS542024
RandadoTEXAS482024
GuerraTEXAS482023
Catarina 3TEXAS402024
SejitaTEXAS382024
MillettTEXAS352012
LaredoTEXAS262023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.