BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 27 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Mourning Dove In Southeastern Coastal Plain

All regionsSoutheastern Coastal PlainGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Southeastern Coastal Plain has held roughly steady: up 9% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+9%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
346Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Southeastern Coastal Plain. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove In Southeastern Coastal Plain Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 37 (95% range 29–45). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±6.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-0%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
37Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
29–4595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±6.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 37 (95% range 29–45). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±6.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026373045
2027373045
2028373045
2029372945
2030372945

Routes In Southeastern Coastal Plain

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Southeastern Coastal Plain.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
LovedaleFLORIDA1362011
Rock ChapelALABAMA1272024
NewtonGEORGIA1152025
HendersonGEORGIA1092025
ShilohGEORGIA1072025
BlountstownFLORIDA1052025
GenoaNORTH-CAROLINA1022025
SpeedNORTH-CAROLINA982025
BethanyGEORGIA972025
Broad BranchFLORIDA922025
OusleyGEORGIA862025
DudleyNORTH-CAROLINA862025
Dowling ParkFLORIDA792025
WeberGEORGIA792025
HumboldtTENNESSEE782025
HowardALABAMA772025
FairmontNORTH-CAROLINA771981
Cypress LakesNORTH-CAROLINA772025
Ft Waltn BchFLORIDA762011
WalthallMISSISSIPPI751987
DillonSOUTH-CAROLINA732021
BostonGEORGIA722025
RhemsNORTH-CAROLINA721993
RoseboroNORTH-CAROLINA712025
PinettaFLORIDA702025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.