BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 27 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mourning Dove In Southeastern Coastal Plain

All regionsSoutheastern Coastal PlainGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Southeastern Coastal Plain has held roughly steady: up 7% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+7%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
346Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Southeastern Coastal Plain. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 37 (95% range 29–45). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+1%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
37Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
29–4595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±9.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 37 (95% range 29–45). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025383046
2026373045
2027372945
2028372945
2029372945

Routes In Southeastern Coastal Plain

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Southeastern Coastal Plain.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
LovedaleFLORIDA1362011
Rock ChapelALABAMA1272024
HendersonGEORGIA1232024
SpeedNORTH-CAROLINA1172024
BettsFLORIDA1132024
NewtonGEORGIA1062024
GenoaNORTH-CAROLINA1052024
DudleyNORTH-CAROLINA1032024
TibbsTENNESSEE962024
MansfieldTENNESSEE862024
WeberGEORGIA842024
BickhamLOUISIANA832024
OusleyGEORGIA772024
FairmontNORTH-CAROLINA771981
Cypress LakesNORTH-CAROLINA772024
Ft Waltn BchFLORIDA762011
HumboldtTENNESSEE762024
WalthallMISSISSIPPI751987
SandhillsSOUTH-CAROLINA752024
MontagueNORTH-CAROLINA732024
DillonSOUTH-CAROLINA732021
RhemsNORTH-CAROLINA721993
JacksonNORTH-CAROLINA702017
BlountstownFLORIDA692024
FowlstownGEORGIA682016

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.