BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 23 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Mourning Dove In Prairie Hardwood Transition

All regionsPrairie Hardwood TransitionGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Prairie Hardwood Transition has increased: up 49% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+49%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
161Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Prairie Hardwood Transition. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove In Prairie Hardwood Transition Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to rise about 14% by 2030 — from 33 in 2025 to a central estimate of 37 (95% range 29–45). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+14%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
37Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
29–4595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±17.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to rise about 14% by 2030 — from 33 in 2025 to a central estimate of 37 (95% range 29–45). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026362845
2027372845
2028372945
2029372945
2030372945

Routes In Prairie Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Prairie Hardwood Transition.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
BismarkOHIO1011995
VickeryOHIO692025
WiotaWISCONSIN692025
AnnatonWISCONSIN672025
JuniataMICHIGAN642024
N FreedomWISCONSIN642025
PackertownINDIANA632004
ParisWISCONSIN612025
Fall RiverWISCONSIN602025
Lake GalenaILLINOIS592021
PardeevilleWISCONSIN582025
N AndoverWISCONSIN562025
North BranchMICHIGAN551999
Cherry ValILLINOIS532003
WeyerhauserWISCONSIN532025
UnityWISCONSIN522025
New LisbonWISCONSIN522025
Hazel GreenWISCONSIN522025
Packertown 2INDIANA512025
Bell Oak 2MICHIGAN512025
PrincetonWISCONSIN512024
Mukwonago 2WISCONSIN502025
RichmondMICHIGAN492024
MerideanWISCONSIN492025
LapeerMICHIGAN482025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.