BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mourning Dove In Badlands and Prairies

All regionsBadlands and PrairiesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Badlands and Prairies has edged up: up 12% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+12%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
139Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Badlands and Prairies. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Badlands and Prairies is projected to fall about 16% by 2029 — from 41 in 2024 to a central estimate of 35 (95% range 23–47). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-16%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
35Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
23–4795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±16.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Badlands and Prairies is projected to fall about 16% by 2029 — from 41 in 2024 to a central estimate of 35 (95% range 23–47). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025352347
2026352347
2027352347
2028352347
2029352347

Routes In Badlands and Prairies

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Badlands and Prairies.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Cedar PassSOUTH-DAKOTA1822023
LacreekSOUTH-DAKOTA1662023
Oglala Nat. Grass.NEBRASKA1362023
Eagle ButteSOUTH-DAKOTA1352015
CircleMONTANA1282023
Custer 2MONTANA1232024
BentleyNORTH-DAKOTA1202024
DickinsonNORTH-DAKOTA1182024
BowmanNORTH-DAKOTA1182024
JordanMONTANA1162024
Ft YatesNORTH-DAKOTA1152004
IsabelSOUTH-DAKOTA1152015
BadlandsSOUTH-DAKOTA1132023
LindsayMONTANA1042024
SolenNORTH-DAKOTA932024
RosebudSOUTH-DAKOTA912011
Dinosaurs H.M.MONTANA892024
CarsonNORTH-DAKOTA882024
LodgepoleSOUTH-DAKOTA822024
ChamberlainSOUTH-DAKOTA812011
BrusettMONTANA782024
ZapNORTH-DAKOTA782024
PromiseSOUTH-DAKOTA782015
VolunteerSOUTH-DAKOTA782019
OwankaSOUTH-DAKOTA772022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.