BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Mourning Dove In Badlands and Prairies

All regionsBadlands and PrairiesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Badlands and Prairies has edged up: up 21% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+21%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
139Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Badlands and Prairies. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove In Badlands and Prairies Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Badlands and Prairies is projected to fall about 27% by 2030 — from 49 in 2025 to a central estimate of 36 (95% range 23–48). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.3%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-27%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
36Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
23–4895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±20.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Badlands and Prairies is projected to fall about 27% by 2030 — from 49 in 2025 to a central estimate of 36 (95% range 23–48). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.3%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026362449
2027362449
2028362348
2029362348
2030362348

Routes In Badlands and Prairies

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Badlands and Prairies.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
GorhamNORTH-DAKOTA1732025
LocateMONTANA1662025
BowmanNORTH-DAKOTA1482025
Cedar PassSOUTH-DAKOTA1482025
Glen UllinNORTH-DAKOTA1442025
DickinsonNORTH-DAKOTA1372025
Eagle ButteSOUTH-DAKOTA1352015
CarsonNORTH-DAKOTA1302025
LacreekSOUTH-DAKOTA1292025
CircleMONTANA1282023
GolvaNORTH-DAKOTA1282025
BentleyNORTH-DAKOTA1202024
JordanMONTANA1162024
Ft YatesNORTH-DAKOTA1152004
IsabelSOUTH-DAKOTA1152015
BadlandsSOUTH-DAKOTA1142025
LindsayMONTANA1042024
OttumwaSOUTH-DAKOTA972025
MaurineSOUTH-DAKOTA972025
WinnerSOUTH-DAKOTA962025
WebsterMONTANA932025
Oglala Nat. Grass.NEBRASKA922025
RosebudSOUTH-DAKOTA912011
Cabin CreekMONTANA872025
Dunn CenterNORTH-DAKOTA832025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.