BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mississippi Kite In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaGeneralists

Mississippi Kite in Peninsular Florida has surged: up 116% on the route-weighted index since 1987.

+116%Since 1987
13Routes In Region
24Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Mississippi Kite has surged in Peninsular Florida: up 116% on the route-weighted index since 1987.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Mississippi Kite in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 59% by 2029 — from 0.18 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.08 (95% range 0.00–0.15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±42.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-59%Change by 2029
0.08Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.1595% range
±42.6%Backtest error
19732029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.070.000.14
20260.070.000.14
20270.070.000.15
20280.070.000.15
20290.080.000.15

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Mississippi Kite in Peninsular Florida.
Mt. OliveFLORIDA42024
MicanopyFLORIDA21990
Ft MccoyFLORIDA22013
GoetheFLORIDA22024
RomeoFLORIDA12019
St AugustineFLORIDA11973
BelmoreFLORIDA12022
DeanvilleFLORIDA12007
FlemingtonFLORIDA11995
Island GroveFLORIDA12023
Mabel 2FLORIDA12016
CroomFLORIDA12024
CitrusFLORIDA12021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.